Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.145685 0.165758 0.188014 0.214591 0.245559 0.280617 0.323469
2026-01-11 0.114388 0.141219 0.173889 0.216923 0.272600 0.342856 0.439258
2026-01-18 0.097298 0.127415 0.166686 0.222347 0.300350 0.407492 0.568814
2026-01-25 0.084251 0.115507 0.158511 0.223132 0.319759 0.462131 0.694009
2026-02-01 0.074325 0.105856 0.151232 0.222880 0.336163 0.513637 0.823625
2026-02-08 0.066093 0.097247 0.143843 0.220662 0.348240 0.559366 0.952325
2026-02-15 0.059309 0.089799 0.136988 0.217841 0.358217 0.602463 1.084720
2026-02-22 0.055273 0.086033 0.135242 0.222797 0.381640 0.672245 1.281525
2026-03-01 0.050304 0.080151 0.129262 0.219516 0.389607 0.714771 1.433834
2026-03-08 0.046645 0.076004 0.125638 0.219763 0.403879 0.771491 1.629030
2026-03-15 0.043394 0.072189 0.122111 0.219607 0.417152 0.828285 1.838207
2026-03-22 0.041260 0.070085 0.121345 0.224490 0.441156 0.911872 2.132547
2026-03-29 0.038954 0.067497 0.119503 0.227213 0.461548 0.992589 2.446063
2026-04-05 0.036885 0.065146 0.117865 0.230158 0.483025 1.080538 2.807063
2026-04-12 0.035351 0.063639 0.117665 0.236040 0.512095 1.193001 3.274626
2026-04-19 0.033412 0.061168 0.115290 0.236894 0.529509 1.279837 3.695434
2026-04-26 0.031544 0.058662 0.112577 0.236625 0.544143 1.362575 4.133016
2026-05-03 0.029650 0.055936 0.109138 0.234251 0.553102 1.431774 4.550975
2026-05-10 0.027870 0.053290 0.105613 0.231230 0.559906 1.496464 4.978313
2026-05-17 0.026944 0.052321 0.105577 0.236537 0.589879 1.637119 5.750599
2026-05-24 0.025383 0.049894 0.102123 0.233023 0.594970 1.702236 6.250902
2026-05-31 0.024233 0.048250 0.100262 0.233288 0.610908 1.806338 6.963784
2026-06-07 0.023137 0.046637 0.098324 0.233121 0.625624 1.910328 7.727474